NCAA Tournament March Madness

#304 Norfolk St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Norfolk State’s body of work makes the projection logical because the program has shown it can win away from home with the road victory at UTEP and the neutral-site win over Jackson State while also piling up workmanlike conference wins at Delaware State and South Carolina State, but those positives are outweighed by damaging blowouts at Arizona and Baylor and a heavy neutral loss at UC Irvine plus several damaging road losses to midlevel nonconference opponents that leave the résumé thin on quality wins. The team’s best moments demonstrate resilience in hostile settings and its defense can hang with tougher opponents, yet the offense has been inconsistent and the absence of a signature win against an established high-major leaves little for a committee to hang a bid on. With a block of conference games coming at home and on the road against names like Howard, NC Central, Delaware State, Maryland Eastern Shore, South Carolina State, Coppin State and Morgan State the Hornets can build momentum, but those results will primarily set up a simple truth: the most reliable path to the tournament is to win the Mid‑Eastern conference crown.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8William & Mary131L81-78
11/11@Old Dominion238L60-57
11/14@Towson168L51-41
11/21Hampton245W62-60
11/23@Wyoming108L75-67
11/29@Arizona1L98-61
12/6@James Madison229L68-67
12/10@Baylor52L97-67
12/18(N)Grambling281L80-68
12/19(N)Jackson St340W82-72
12/21@UTEP277W72-71
12/22(N)UC Irvine114L89-70
12/28@Louisiana331L63-54
1/3@NC Central347L69-67
1/10@Delaware St359W66-64
1/12MD E Shore324L74-70
1/17@S Carolina St361W89-82
1/24Coppin St364W103-76
1/26Morgan St356L79-78
1/31@Howard27431%
2/7NC Central34775%
2/14Delaware St35983%
2/16@MD E Shore32444%
2/21S Carolina St36184%
2/28@Coppin St36480%
3/2@Morgan St35662%
3/5Howard27453%